Democrats Are Already Lining Up For 2028

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Maryland Gov. Wes Moore (D) took his name off the 2028 big board on Sunday, telling NBC’s Kristen Welker he won’t run for president and intends to serve a full second term if voters return him to Annapolis in 2026. Pressed repeatedly, Moore left no wiggle room.

“Yes, I’m going to be serving a full term,” he said. “I’m excited about re-election… I’m not running for president.”

The emphatic answer surprised Welker and punctured months of Beltway chatter that the first-term governor—young, telegenic, and a favorite of national media—would quickly become a top-tier Democratic contender. Instead, Moore used the moment to rattle off a Maryland-first scorecard: jobless numbers that have improved since he took office, a drop in violent crime from pandemic-era highs, and population growth that, he argued, reflects rising confidence in the state’s trajectory.

“I’m so excited about what we’re doing,” Moore said, touting the state’s move “from 43rd in the country in unemployment to now one of the lowest unemployment rates,” along with “amongst the fastest drops in violent crime anywhere in the United States.” He framed a 2026 re-election as the real prize, adding that he’s “excited about what I’m gonna be able to do for the people of Maryland.”

Moore’s decision lands right as Democrats begin informally sorting their 2028 field. A recent national snapshot from Emerson showed California Gov. Gavin Newsom leading hypothetical primary preferences at 25%, followed by Pete Buttigieg at 16% and 2024 nominee Kamala Harris at 11%, with nearly a quarter undecided. Moore didn’t even appear in that poll—one reason insiders saw Sunday’s announcement as an acknowledgement that the moment might belong to better-known coastal governors and long-time national figures.

On the home front, the picture is mixed behind the governor’s sales pitch. As of July, Maryland’s unemployment rate stood at 3.4%—tied for 14th lowest nationally—while Baltimore logged 201 homicides in 2024, a ten-year low that still leaves residents demanding deeper reforms. Statewide, violent crime remains above the national average by double digits, underscoring how far Maryland has to go even as the post-COVID spike recedes. Moore’s supporters say those trends validate his focus on local results over national ambition; critics counter that the governor should keep his claims tightly tethered to the data.

Politically, Moore’s pass simplifies 2028 for Democrats in one sense and complicates it in another. Without him, the early conversation centers even more heavily on the party’s biggest blue-state brands—Newsom in California and Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker—plus familiar cabinet-level names. But it also narrows the party’s generational offering at a time when voters keep signaling they want fresher faces. For moderates inside the party, Moore’s brand—pragmatic, post-identity-politics rhetoric wrapped around economic growth—was a potential bridge to skeptical independents. That bridge will have to come from someone else.

Republicans will read Moore’s move as another sign the Democratic bench is less robust than advertised, especially with Vice President JD Vance already being floated by President Trump as the future “heir apparent” on the right. Strategists in both parties know early lanes are fragile, but they also know that donors and activists start taking sides now. Removing a nationally marketable governor from contention changes who gets the calls.

Moore, for his part, sounded like a politician comfortable defying the hype cycle. Rather than coy non-answers, he issued a crisp no and pivoted right back to the measurable fights at home: keeping employers invested, driving crime lower, and adding residents instead of losing them to lower-tax neighbors. If he wins reelection in 2026 and can backstop the rhetoric with results, he’ll have options later—2028 or not.

For now, the headline is simple: one of the Democrats’ buzziest prospects just left the stage before the first audition. That clarifies the script for everyone else—and puts a brighter spotlight on the governors and cabinet veterans who still want the role.


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